National Retail Properties Stock Performance
| NNN Stock | USD 41.67 0.45 1.09% |
National Retail has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Retail's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Retail is expected to be smaller as well. National Retail Prop right now secures a risk of 0.97%. Please verify National Retail Properties potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if National Retail Properties will be following its current price movements.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Retail Properties are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, National Retail may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.36) | Five Day Return (1.95) | Year To Date Return 5.41 | Ten Year Return (4.05) | All Time Return 327.38 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0574 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 2.4 | Dividend Date 2026-02-13 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-01-30 |
1 | Alpine Income Property Trust Acquires Sams Club for 15.4 Million | 11/12/2025 |
| National Retail dividend paid on 14th of November 2025 | 11/14/2025 |
2 | Does Rising Short Interest Quietly Reframe NNN REITs Necessity-Retail Resilience Story | 12/05/2025 |
3 | Will Upgraded Outlook for Occupancy and Acquisitions Change NNN REITs Narrative | 12/15/2025 |
4 | Does NNN REITs New Term Loan and Hedging Shift the Risk-Reward Profile for NNN | 12/22/2025 |
5 | NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Details | 01/07/2026 |
6 | NNN REIT declares 0.60 dividend | 01/15/2026 |
7 | Brokerages Set NNN REIT, Inc. Price Target at 43.17 | 01/20/2026 |
8 | Will NNN REITs 36-Year Dividend Growth Streak Still Define Its Income Appeal | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 5.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -424.3 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 635.5 M |
National Retail Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,925 in National Retail Properties on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 242.00 from holding National Retail Properties or generate 6.17% return on investment over 90 days. National Retail Properties is generating 0.1012% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.9691% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than National, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
National Retail Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 41.67 | 90 days | 41.67 | nearly 4.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Retail to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.96 (This National Retail Properties probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Retail has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Retail Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Retail Properties has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). National Retail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Retail Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Retail Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
National Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Retail Prop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Retail Prop is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| National Retail Properties has 4.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Retail Prop has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable National to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 93.0% of National Retail shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will NNN REITs 36-Year Dividend Growth Streak Still Define Its Income Appeal |
National Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.7 M |
National Retail Fundamentals Growth
National Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of National Retail, and National Retail fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on National Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0891 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.038 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.43 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.62 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 12.66 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 189.92 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 26.31 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.80 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 8.73 X | ||||
| Revenue | 869.27 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 867.81 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 830.53 M | ||||
| Net Income | 396.83 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.73 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.02 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.37 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.95 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 23.28 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 635.5 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.07 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.91 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.87 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (829.29 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 25.58 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 43.13 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 20.11 M | ||||
About National Retail Performance
By examining National Retail's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into National Retail's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that National Retail is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 227.54 | 216.17 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.10 | 0.09 |
Things to note about National Retail Prop performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for National Retail Prop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Retail Prop is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| National Retail Properties has 4.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Retail Prop has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable National to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 93.0% of National Retail shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will NNN REITs 36-Year Dividend Growth Streak Still Define Its Income Appeal |
- Analyzing National Retail's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether National Retail's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining National Retail's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating National Retail's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of National Retail's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of National Retail's stock. These opinions can provide insight into National Retail's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Retail Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Retail REITs sector continue expanding? Could National diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Retail. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every National Retail data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 2.34 | Earnings Share 2.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.053 |
Understanding National Retail Prop requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects National's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what National Retail's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push National Retail's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between National Retail's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Retail should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, National Retail's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.