National Retail Properties Stock Performance

NNN Stock  USD 41.67  0.45  1.09%   
National Retail has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Retail's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Retail is expected to be smaller as well. National Retail Prop right now secures a risk of 0.97%. Please verify National Retail Properties potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if National Retail Properties will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Retail Properties are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, National Retail may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.36)
Five Day Return
(1.95)
Year To Date Return
5.41
Ten Year Return
(4.05)
All Time Return
327.38
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0574
Payout Ratio
0.0161
Forward Dividend Rate
2.4
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-30
1
Alpine Income Property Trust Acquires Sams Club for 15.4 Million
11/12/2025
 
National Retail dividend paid on 14th of November 2025
11/14/2025
2
Does Rising Short Interest Quietly Reframe NNN REITs Necessity-Retail Resilience Story
12/05/2025
3
Will Upgraded Outlook for Occupancy and Acquisitions Change NNN REITs Narrative
12/15/2025
4
Does NNN REITs New Term Loan and Hedging Shift the Risk-Reward Profile for NNN
12/22/2025
5
NNN REIT, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Details
01/07/2026
6
NNN REIT declares 0.60 dividend
01/15/2026
7
Brokerages Set NNN REIT, Inc. Price Target at 43.17
01/20/2026
8
Will NNN REITs 36-Year Dividend Growth Streak Still Define Its Income Appeal
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow5.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-424.3 M
Free Cash Flow635.5 M

National Retail Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,925  in National Retail Properties on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  242.00  from holding National Retail Properties or generate 6.17% return on investment over 90 days. National Retail Properties is generating 0.1012% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.9691% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than National, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Retail is expected to generate 1.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

National Retail Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41.67 90 days 41.67 
nearly 4.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Retail to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.96 (This National Retail Properties probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon National Retail has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Retail Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally National Retail Properties has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   National Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for National Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Retail Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.7041.6742.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.5042.6543.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.6940.6541.62
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.3244.3149.19
Details

National Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Retail Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

National Retail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Retail Prop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Retail Prop is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
National Retail Properties has 4.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Retail Prop has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable National to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 93.0% of National Retail shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will NNN REITs 36-Year Dividend Growth Streak Still Define Its Income Appeal

National Retail Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.7 M

National Retail Fundamentals Growth

National Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of National Retail, and National Retail fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on National Stock performance.

About National Retail Performance

By examining National Retail's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into National Retail's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that National Retail is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 227.54  216.17 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.09 

Things to note about National Retail Prop performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about National Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for National Retail Prop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Retail Prop is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
National Retail Properties has 4.37 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Retail Prop has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable National to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 93.0% of National Retail shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Will NNN REITs 36-Year Dividend Growth Streak Still Define Its Income Appeal
Evaluating National Retail's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate National Retail's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing National Retail's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether National Retail's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining National Retail's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating National Retail's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of National Retail's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of National Retail's stock. These opinions can provide insight into National Retail's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating National Retail's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact National Retail's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether National Retail Prop offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Retail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Retail Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Retail Properties Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Retail Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Retail REITs sector continue expanding? Could National diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Retail. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every National Retail data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
2.34
Earnings Share
2.07
Revenue Per Share
4.846
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.053
Understanding National Retail Prop requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects National's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what National Retail's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push National Retail's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between National Retail's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Retail should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, National Retail's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.